Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 4-3
Itabaiana vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 0
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
APA
0 - 2
ITA
65%
22%
13%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
SDJ
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
INT
1 - 2
ITA
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 0
INT
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 0
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ASA
1 - 0
JAC
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 3
ASA
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
ASA
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 1
CAM
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |