Itabaiana vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
JAC
2 - 2
ITA
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
COR
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CEN
2 - 2
ITA
46%
27%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 1
ABC
15%
25%
60%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
ITA
78%
16%
6%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
AFP
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
AFP
3 - 0
JAC
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
VIT
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
POT
0 - 0
AFP
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
SER
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |