Itabaiana vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 4
SER
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 1
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
ITA
0 - 1
CON
14%
21%
65%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 4
CON
10%
16%
73%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
AFP
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 1
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CSA
4 - 0
AFP
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
AFP
41%
24%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |