Itabaiana vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
5 - 2
AMA
65%
21%
13%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 5
ITA
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
SAN
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
7 - 1
AFP
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 0
SER
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
AFP
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 3
BOC
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 2
ITA
22%
25%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |