Itabaiana vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
ITA
26%
26%
49%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
CSA
32%
28%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
EST
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 2
ITA
14%
21%
66%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
ABC
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 2
GLO
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 1
AUD
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 0
ABC
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 1
ABC
21%
22%
58%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |