Istres vs St Clément Montferrier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+213%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
3º
1º
13
9º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 3
IST
15%
18%
67%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
IST
3 - 0
COR
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AGD
4 - 0
IST
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IST
1 - 0
ESF
81%
12%
6%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
IST
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
St Clément Montferrier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
STC
1 - 1
MAR
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 1
STC
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STC
2 - 1
RSV
10%
15%
75%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | +4 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
ASC
16%
18%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COR
0 - 0
STC
86%
10%
5%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | +1 |