Istres vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
IST
2 - 1
LEN
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
IST
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
IST
3 - 2
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
IST
5 - 3
CHA
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
IST
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
LMU
0 - 1
TOU
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 0
LMU
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 0
ARL
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
LMU
3 - 2
NAN
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
VAN
4 - 3
LMU
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |