Istres vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
TOU
2 - 0
IST
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
IST
1 - 0
GUI
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
IST
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
IST
2 - 1
FCG
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
IST
1 - 0
NIO
37%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 3
TFC
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
AND
1 - 1
LIL
55%
25%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 1
LIL
34%
29%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
LIL
3 - 0
GIR
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
RAB
0 - 1
LIL
24%
29%
46%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |