Istres vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
REI
2 - 2
IST
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
IST
1 - 1
CLE
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
AMI
1 - 1
IST
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
IST
2 - 0
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
GRE
5 - 0
IST
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
LIL
2 - 2
AUX
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
REN
5 - 1
LIL
48%
27%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
LIL
2 - 1
LYO
30%
27%
44%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
SED
0 - 1
LIL
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
LIL
0 - 1
NAN
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |