Istres vs Hyères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
13º
13º
29
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
25 | 55 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 42 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 34 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 34 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
IST
0 - 2
SAI
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MGG
2 - 7
IST
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
IST
1 - 4
LPV
15%
25%
60%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
RVA
1 - 2
IST
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
IST
0 - 0
AND
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FRE
1 - 0
HYE
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HYE
0 - 0
ANG
50%
28%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HYE
1 - 0
LES
60%
25%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
SAI
0 - 2
HYE
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
HYE
1 - 1
MGG
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |