Istres vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DIJ
2 - 1
IST
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
STL
2 - 1
IST
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
IST
0 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
THI
1 - 4
IST
11%
19%
69%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 5
IST
37%
28%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LMU
1 - 0
GUI
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 3
SED
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
TOU
5 - 1
GUI
34%
28%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
STL
1 - 2
GUI
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |