Istres vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
LMU
2 - 1
IST
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NIO
2 - 1
IST
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
IST
2 - 0
ASN
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ANG
1 - 0
IST
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
IST
1 - 0
LOR
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
FCG
1 - 1
PSG
26%
29%
45%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
FCG
1 - 1
ANG
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
STL
1 - 2
FCG
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
FCG
0 - 0
SED
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CLE
1 - 0
FCG
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |