Istres vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
13º
9º
25
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 1
IST
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IST
0 - 2
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RSV
3 - 0
IST
55%
20%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
AJA
39%
24%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
1 - 1
IST
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 4
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
SCR
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
CAS
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 2
LUC
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |