Istres vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
13º
9º
25
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 1
IST
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IST
0 - 2
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RSV
3 - 0
IST
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
AJA
39%
24%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
1 - 1
IST
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 4
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
SCR
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
CAS
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 2
LUC
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |