Istres vs Balagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
13º
9º
32
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
CAS
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 1
IST
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IST
0 - 2
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RSV
3 - 0
IST
55%
20%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
AJA
39%
24%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NIC
29%
22%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
RSV
23%
21%
57%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 2
BAL
69%
17%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |