Istres vs Balagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
13º
9º
32
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
CAS
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 1
IST
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IST
0 - 2
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RSV
3 - 0
IST
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
AJA
39%
24%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NIC
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
RSV
23%
21%
57%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 2
BAL
69%
17%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |