Istres vs Angouleme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
8º
15º
15º
5
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 53 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 52 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 52 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 49 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 47 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 46 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 45 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 43 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 39 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 39 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 33 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 53% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
51% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HYE
0 - 0
IST
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IST
2 - 0
LES
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
IST
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
MGG
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
JUR
2 - 0
IST
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 0
MOA
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
ANG
53%
27%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 0
ANG
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 2
HYE
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LES
1 - 1
ANG
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |