NK Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
9º
8º
57
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RIJ
3 - 0
IST
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
IST
5 - 1
KOL
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
IST
0 - 1
DZG
17%
23%
61%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
SLA
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
IST
1 - 2
RAD
46%
24%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 1
HKS
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
OSI
2 - 0
RUD
73%
20%
7%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 0
MAK
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OSI
2 - 0
FHV
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 1
CEL
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |