NK Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
10º
5º
46
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IST
3 - 0
HKS
13%
21%
66%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
IST
0 - 0
SLA
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
IST
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
IST
7 - 1
KOL
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
IST
2 - 0
MAK
41%
24%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 0
SLA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NKV
0 - 0
LOK
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
HNG
0 - 0
NKV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 1
DOM
39%
24%
38%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
SLA
2 - 1
NKV
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |