NK Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
9º
8º
51
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IST
0 - 0
HNG
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NKV
2 - 2
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 0
IST
73%
17%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
RUD
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
IST
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 2
LOK
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 0
RUD
80%
14%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 3
LOK
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
OSI
35%
24%
40%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
OSI
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |