NK Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
9º
8º
51
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ZAG
0 - 2
IST
11%
18%
71%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
IST
0 - 1
HNG
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 0
IST
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HKS
0 - 1
IST
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
IST
0 - 0
RUD
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DUG
0 - 1
LOK
8%
16%
75%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HKS
1 - 0
LOK
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 0
RUD
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 1
LOK
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 2
OSI
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |