NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
10º
5º
27
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
OSI
1 - 0
IST
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IST
0 - 0
DZG
18%
24%
59%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NKV
0 - 0
IST
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HKS
2 - 2
IST
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 0
IST
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
HNS
3 - 1
SLA
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 0
HNS
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 4
HNG
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HNS
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
HNS
2 - 1
DZG
20%
25%
54%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +2 |