NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
9º
8º
41
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NKV
2 - 2
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 0
IST
73%
17%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
RUD
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
IST
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
IST
1 - 0
OSI
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 3
HKS
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
RUD
2 - 1
HNG
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
DZG
4 - 0
HNG
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HNG
1 - 0
SLA
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
OSI
3 - 0
HNG
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |