NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
9º
8º
41
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 0
IST
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HKS
0 - 1
IST
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
IST
0 - 0
RUD
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 2
IST
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
IST
4 - 4
OSI
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HNG
2 - 1
HKS
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 2
HNG
20%
26%
54%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
HNG
2 - 2
SLA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OSI
1 - 0
HNG
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DZG
0 - 0
HNG
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |