NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
10º
8º
37
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 67 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 65 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 63 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 58 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 46 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 38 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 31.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
IST
0 - 0
HNG
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
DZG
3 - 1
IST
68%
19%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
IST
6 - 0
FCK
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
IST
1 - 1
OPA
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
IST
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LOK
3 - 2
HKS
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
HKS
0 - 0
SLA
67%
20%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 0
HKS
15%
24%
61%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 2
UJP
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 0
OSN
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |