NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
10º
9º
14
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
13 | 68 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 68 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 66 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 53 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 49 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 26 |
10º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 22% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
4 - 0
IST
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
HNG
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
5 - 0
IST
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VNZ
1 - 1
IST
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GOZ
1 - 2
IST
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
2 - 1
NKV
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
0 - 1
RUZ
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HKS
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
RUZ
0 - 0
HKS
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
2 - 1
SLA
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |