NK Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
9º
8º
82
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
IST
1 - 2
RAD
46%
24%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
SLA
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
IST
9 - 0
RNB
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 2
IST
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 3
IST
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
DZG
0 - 3
LOK
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 2
SLA
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
DZG
4 - 1
MAK
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 0
CEL
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
DZG
7 - 0
TRI
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |