NK Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
9º
8º
82
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
IST
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
IST
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
IST
1 - 3
ORI
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
ROG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
IST
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
DZG
4 - 0
AST
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 2
HKS
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 0
HKS
46%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 1
SPA
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 3
DZG
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |