Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
NK Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
IST
2 - 1
NKV
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HKS
1 - 1
IST
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DZG
1 - 1
IST
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IST
1 - 2
KTE
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
OSI
2 - 1
IST
63%
24%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DZG
1 - 0
OSI
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
KAR
0 - 3
DZG
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DZG
1 - 1
IST
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
DZG
0 - 1
MID
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
DZG
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |