Istiklol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh Bokhtar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 1
IST
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
RAV
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
IST
36%
24%
41%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
FKE
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCF
1 - 3
IST
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vakhsh Bokhtar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
VAK
4 - 3
CSK
48%
26%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RAV
1 - 1
VAK
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAK
2 - 1
IST
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
FKE
0 - 0
VAK
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VAK
0 - 0
FCF
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |