Istiklol Dushanbe vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
KHU
0 - 2
IST
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
IST
7 - 1
RAV
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
4 - 2
IST
72%
19%
9%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
REG
2 - 3
IST
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
IST
4 - 2
BAR
69%
16%
15%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
TRI
4 - 2
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 3
WAS
14%
19%
67%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
ALG
0 - 0
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HIK
0 - 5
TRI
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 1
TRI
65%
23%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |