Istiklol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
ALN
4%
10%
86%
|
32 | 76 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 4
IST
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
ADS
2 - 0
IST
90%
8%
3%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
PER
6%
14%
80%
|
31 | 74 | 43 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
IST
84%
13%
3%
|
31 | 75 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Ravshan Kulob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
RAV
2 - 2
FKK
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
RAV
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
RAV
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
RAV
0 - 1
FKA
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
RAV
87%
10%
4%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |