Istiklol Dushanbe vs Naft Al-Wasat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 4
IST
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IST
3 - 2
KHU
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
WAS
2 - 0
IST
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -21 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
IST
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +21 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
IST
0 - 0
ALF
15%
24%
62%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Naft Al-Wasat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
WAS
2 - 0
IST
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 1
WAS
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ALZ
2 - 1
WAS
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALN
0 - 0
WAS
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
WAS
1 - 0
TRI
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |