Istiklol Dushanbe vs Alay Osh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
IST
2 - 1
PAN
72%
14%
14%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
IST
8 - 2
KHO
70%
15%
15%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 1
IST
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -21 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IST
0 - 0
REG
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +21 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
IST
2 - 0
DBI
61%
18%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -3 |
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
FKA
1 - 1
DBI
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FKA
2 - 1
NEF
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
DBI
1 - 0
FKA
43%
24%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -22 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
FKA
1 - 2
ALT
14%
20%
67%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +19 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
DBI
1 - 4
FKA
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |