Istiklol Dushanbe vs Barqchi Hisor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IST
2 - 0
CSK
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
IST
6 - 1
FKE
61%
19%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
REG
1 - 2
IST
42%
24%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
RAV
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IST
3 - 1
KHO
61%
19%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barqchi Hisor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
PAN
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
FKE
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
REG
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KHO
3 - 0
BAR
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
KHU
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |