Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
69%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
IST
5 - 4
KHU
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 2
IST
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -4 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
IST
1 - 0
BEN
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
PAN
0 - 5
IST
45%
21%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
CER
1 - 1
IST
42%
20%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
ALQ
1 - 0
ALW
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
ALW
2 - 1
ALQ
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
ALQ
2 - 1
HUD
59%
25%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
KAR
2 - 2
ALQ
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
ALQ
2 - 1
NAF
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |