Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al Qadsia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
IST
2 - 0
KHU
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
IST
2 - 2
XAY
61%
20%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -3 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 2
IST
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
AHA
1 - 2
IST
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
IST
1 - 3
ARB
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 66 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Al Qadsia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ALQ
7 - 0
ALT
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 0
YAR
52%
22%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
YAR
1 - 1
ALQ
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALQ
5 - 1
KHA
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 2
IST
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |