Qualif. Champions Play-off Final
Global 3-4
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
IST
1 - 0
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
IST
2 - 0
BRU
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 3
IST
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
IST
1 - 1
VIT
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 4
IST
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 1
ROM
37%
23%
40%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 2
SEV
47%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 0
SEV
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 2
SEV
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
RBL
0 - 1
SEV
41%
25%
35%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |