Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 0-1
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 1
IST
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
IST
1 - 3
STU
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
EIB
0 - 2
IST
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
TER
1 - 0
IST
37%
27%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
IST
3 - 2
UFA
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 2
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
BUR
3 - 1
ABE
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 0
MPL
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
BUR
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
PNE
2 - 3
BUR
29%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |