İstanbul Başakşehir vs Alanyaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
9º
5º
6
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 62 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 60 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 56 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 56 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 52 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 52 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 52 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 52 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 49 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 46 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 44 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 42 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 37 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 35 |
18º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 33 |
19º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
3% | 3.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4.5% | 3.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
12.5% | 4.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7.5% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
IST
2 - 0
SAB
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
RIZ
1 - 1
IST
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 1
IST
33%
26%
42%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 4
IST
19%
25%
55%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
IST
6 - 1
FIO
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alanyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
EYU
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ANT
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALA
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
BJK
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 1
ALA
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |