Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Adana Demirspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
IST
1 - 1
GAL
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
ANK
0 - 1
IST
17%
26%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
ADA
1 - 1
IST
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
IST
0 - 1
SIV
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
GOZ
0 - 2
IST
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Adana Demirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
ADA
52%
24%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
ADA
1 - 1
GIR
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
ADA
1 - 1
IST
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 3
ADA
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ADA
1 - 1
ADA
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |