Israel U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
NIR
1 - 3
ISR
26%
24%
51%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ISR
2 - 2
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
MDA
1 - 0
ISR
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
ISR
3 - 0
LUX
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 21 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
UKR
4 - 5
ISR
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
3 - 0
MDA
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
5 - 0
LUX
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
NIR
1 - 3
ISR
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
LUX
1 - 2
NIR
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
NIR
0 - 3
GER
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | -1 |