Israel U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
78.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
GER
2 - 0
ISR
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ISR
1 - 2
POL
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
KOS
3 - 1
ISR
21%
22%
57%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
ISR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BGR
1 - 0
ISR
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
GER
2 - 0
ISR
80%
14%
7%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
GER
0 - 0
KOS
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
GER
3 - 1
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GER
4 - 1
EST
91%
7%
2%
|
80 | 30 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BGR
2 - 3
GER
4%
11%
85%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |