Ismaning vs TSV Nördlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
46.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
16º
11º
16
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DEI
2 - 0
ISM
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
0 - 0
ISM
61%
21%
17%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 0
KOT
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
0 - 0
ISM
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 2
186
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 0
HEI
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
5 - 1
TSV
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
RAI
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
TSV
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |