Ismaning vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
16º
12º
37
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
186
1 - 0
ISM
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 3
ISM
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ISM
1 - 0
HEI
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ISM
2 - 2
TSV
63%
20%
18%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 3
ISM
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ERL
3 - 0
HEI
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 1
ERL
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 0
RAI
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ERL
0 - 0
KIR
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
ERL
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |