Ismaning vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
16º
12º
19
1º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 72% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 28% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ISM
2 - 2
TSV
63%
20%
18%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 3
ISM
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 1
KIR
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 1
ISM
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 2
TUR
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 2
LAN
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 0
HEI
23%
20%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
5 - 1
RAI
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
KIR
5 - 1
HEI
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 4
FCP
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |