Arab Club Champions Cup Last 16
Global 7-2
Ismaily vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ismaily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
ISM
2 - 1
ETI
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ISM
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
ISM
3 - 2
ITT
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GHA
1 - 1
ISM
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
BUS
1 - 4
ISM
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
USM
0 - 2
KOU
69%
21%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
ALG
0 - 0
USM
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
ALW
3 - 1
USM
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
USM
3 - 0
HUS
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
USM
1 - 1
CHL
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |