CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Ismaily vs Al-Hilal Omdurman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ismaily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 1
ISM
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
JAI
1 - 1
ISM
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ALH
0 - 1
ISM
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
ISM
0 - 0
HEL
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
ELS
0 - 0
ISM
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
MER
0 - 2
ALH
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ALH
0 - 1
ISM
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | -3 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALA
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
ALM
0 - 1
ALH
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ALH
4 - 1
AFR
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -2 |