Isloch vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
14º
9º
0
4º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 60 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 55 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 46 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 45 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 43 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 18 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isloch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ISL
1 - 1
DIN
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ISL
0 - 2
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 4
ISL
30%
25%
46%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ISL
2 - 2
NAF
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DNM
2 - 1
ISL
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
BEL
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
VIT
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOR
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
SHA
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
SLA
3 - 3
SHA
24%
23%
53%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |