US Virgin Islands vs Sint Maarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
77.9%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6%
1-5
4%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.1%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+138%
+1558%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TCA
1 - 0
VIR
82%
11%
6%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BES
2 - 0
VIR
81%
13%
7%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 2
BES
10%
14%
76%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 2
TCA
6%
10%
84%
|
5 | 23 | 18 | +3 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
SXM
1 - 1
VIR
39%
22%
39%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sint Maarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SXM
6 - 1
BES
10%
14%
76%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
TCA
2 - 0
SXM
77%
14%
10%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SXM
8 - 2
TCA
5%
9%
85%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | +5 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
BES
2 - 2
SXM
79%
13%
8%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
SXM
1 - 1
VIR
39%
22%
39%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |