WC Qual. CONCACAF Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-1
US Virgin Islands vs British Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
57.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+748%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 4
ABW
13%
16%
71%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CYM
2 - 1
VIR
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABW
3 - 1
VIR
78%
13%
9%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 2
CYM
11%
14%
75%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
SXM
9%
13%
78%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
British Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
VGB
1 - 2
DMA
15%
18%
68%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
TCA
2 - 2
VGB
67%
17%
17%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
DMA
1 - 1
VGB
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VGB
3 - 1
TCA
10%
12%
78%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
VGB
1 - 3
PRI
10%
14%
77%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | -1 |