US Virgin Islands vs Curaçao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
80.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 8
CAN
2%
7%
91%
|
6 | 76 | 70 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
CUW
7 - 0
VIR
86%
12%
3%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 7
GUY
6%
16%
78%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
GRD
8%
16%
77%
|
10 | 49 | 39 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SXM
1 - 2
VIR
32%
24%
44%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
CUW
10 - 0
GRD
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CUW
1 - 0
BOL
10%
17%
74%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CUW
1 - 1
BOL
9%
17%
74%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 2
CUW
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
CUW
0 - 2
MEX
6%
16%
78%
|
51 | 92 | 41 | 0 |